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· Essay · 1 min

Circular Deals as a Way to Boost the AI Economy

OpenAI and Nvidia have created a closed ecosystem where money circulates within a single loop.

Bloomberg's diagram clearly shows how OpenAI and Nvidia have created a closed ecosystem where money circulates within a single loop. Nvidia invests up to $100 billion in OpenAI to build data centers on its own chips. Oracle spends billions on these same GPUs, while OpenAI signs a $300 billion deal with Oracle.

AMD enters the game, offering its GPUs and gaining a stake in OpenAI. Microsoft and other investors enhance the closed nature of this system — each new contract simultaneously boosts the market and raises the capitalization of all participants.

Bloomberg calls this the "AI Money Machine" — a network of mutual deals where investments, supplies, and services create the illusion of continuous growth. This structure accelerates AI development but also creates the risk of a bubble based not on profit but on circular money turnover.

🔗 Source: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-08/the-circular-openai-nvidia-and-amd-deals-raising-fears-of-a-new-tech-bubble

P.S. It's nice to see Nebius (Arkady Volozh's company) in all this movement.

Circular Deals as a Way to Boost the AI Economy — illustration

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