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Pascal's Wager for the Age of AI

Pascal's wager for your career: work more to keep up in the age of AI.

Tyler Cowen wrote a post "Why You Should Work Much Harder Right Now" with a simple logic:

- If AI devalues your skills - your current salary is relatively high. Earn while you can.
- If AI enhances your skills - invest time in learning AI right now to keep up.

In both cases, the answer is the same: work more.

This is essentially Pascal's wager for your career. Pascal said: if you don't know whether God exists - bet that He does, because the gain is infinite and the loss is minimal. Here it's the same - you don't know if AI will replace you or enhance you, but in both scenarios, the optimal strategy is the same.

https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2026/03/why-you-should-work-much-harder-right-now.html

Pascal's Wager for the Age of AI — illustration